Poll from Question 3 opponents finds plurality against Maryland redistricting amendment
A poll commissioned by a group opposing Question 3 found roughly four in 10 likely voters against the amendment, while about three in 10 remained undecided.
HERE'S WHAT WE KNOW
The poll was commissioned by Protect Maryland Votes, which opposes Question 3. It surveyed 600 likely Maryland voters. The poll was conducted Sept. 10-13. The stated margin of error was ±4 percentage points. Roughly four in 10 respondents said they opposed Question 3. About three in 10 remained undecided. Supporters of the amendment have criticized the poll’s methodology and sponsor. Question 3 concerns constitutional standards for congressional redistricting.
A new poll commissioned by a group opposing Maryland Question 3 found a plurality of likely voters against the proposed constitutional amendment, although supporters of the measure are challenging the survey’s credibility.
The poll was released by Protect Maryland Votes, an organization opposing Question 3.
Roughly four in 10 likely voters surveyed said they oppose the amendment, according to Maryland Matters. About three in 10 were undecided.
The survey included 600 likely Maryland voters and was conducted Sept. 10-13 by Ragnar Research Partners and Lincoln Park Strategies, identified in the source material as Republican and Democratic polling firms. The stated margin of error was plus or minus 4 percentage points.
Because the poll was commissioned by a group actively opposing Question 3, its sponsorship is an important part of interpreting the results.
A spokesperson for Fight Back Maryland, which supports the amendment, criticized the poll and its Republican polling partner, arguing that the results should not be trusted.
Question 3 would change constitutional standards governing congressional redistricting in Maryland.
The proposed amendment was advanced by Democratic lawmakers during a special legislative session in August. The measure could affect the standards applied to future congressional maps.
The poll also asked voters about related election issues.
It reported that 57% of respondents opposed gerrymandering and found majority support among surveyed Democrats and unaffiliated voters for allowing unaffiliated voters to participate in primary elections.
Those findings do not determine how voters will ultimately cast ballots on Question 3.
They represent one survey taken at a specific point in the campaign, with a sample of likely voters and a four-point margin of error.
Mail-in voting is beginning, and the amendment will ultimately be decided by Maryland voters.
WHAT IT MEANS
The poll offers one snapshot of voter opinion but should not be treated as a prediction of the election result.
Its sponsorship, sample size, margin of error and the large undecided share are all relevant when interpreting the numbers.
Voters will ultimately decide Question 3 at the ballot box.
Original reporting referenced by Everything Frederick:
Maryland Matters — Reporting by Bryan P. Sears →Want more Frederick updates like this?
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